Michigan State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
32  Caleb Rhynard SO 31:24
262  Ben Carruthers JR 32:26
302  David Madrigal JR 32:33
417  Nick Soter FR 32:49
517  Alex Wilson JR 33:02
647  Nathan Burnand FR 33:16
863  Clark Ruiz FR 33:38
885  Garret Zuk FR 33:41
1,011  Chris Collier SO 33:52
1,052  Ryan Konen JR 33:55
1,537  Eric Buday 34:36
National Rank #45 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #6 of 30
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.3%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 21.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Caleb Rhynard Ben Carruthers David Madrigal Nick Soter Alex Wilson Nathan Burnand Clark Ruiz Garret Zuk Chris Collier Ryan Konen Eric Buday
Roy Griak Invitational (Gold) 09/28 832 31:52 32:32 32:33 33:02 32:38 33:33 33:43 33:52 33:48 34:36
Michigan Intercollegiate Championships 10/11 1320
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 746 31:20 32:19 32:27 32:43 33:49 33:00 33:43 32:56
Big Ten Championships 11/03 807 31:27 32:34 32:42 32:49 33:21 33:26 32:57 34:17 34:01
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 707 31:13 32:17 32:34 32:45 32:24 33:27 34:39
NCAA Championship 11/23 31:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.3% 27.3 620 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4
Region Championship 100% 6.2 175 0.0 0.3 3.4 17.9 48.7 19.5 8.4 1.7 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caleb Rhynard 98.1% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.6 2.2 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.5
Ben Carruthers 7.7% 160.8
David Madrigal 4.8% 168.8
Nick Soter 3.4% 195.6
Alex Wilson 3.3% 215.3
Nathan Burnand 3.3% 229.8
Clark Ruiz 3.4% 243.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caleb Rhynard 4.1 13.1 14.6 12.1 9.4 7.5 7.0 5.2 4.6 4.6 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.2 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3
Ben Carruthers 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.9 3.6 4.1 4.1
David Madrigal 33.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.2
Nick Soter 44.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4
Alex Wilson 54.2 0.0 0.0
Nathan Burnand 65.4
Clark Ruiz 82.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 2
3 0.3% 86.7% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3
4 3.4% 68.2% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 2.3 4
5 17.9% 3.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 17.3 0.6 5
6 48.7% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 48.5 0.2 6
7 19.5% 0.1% 0.0 19.4 0.0 7
8 8.4% 8.4 8
9 1.7% 1.7 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
Total 100% 3.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 96.7 0.0 3.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 2.0 0.3
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0